Key Insights:
- XRP price hovers near $1.45, with $1.65 serving as the crucial threshold for a potential Ripple coin breakout.
- Traders tracking the Ripple coin are monitoring whale long exposure and smart money sentiment across leading exchanges.
- Current XRP price forecasts highlight $1.65 as the resistance to beat, cautioning that a rejection might push XRP down toward the 333 EMA.
XRP is trading near $1.45 while market participants monitor the $1.65 mark for a potential breakout. Although whale positioning has strengthened across certain platforms, smart money maintains a cautious stance, and recent liquidations highlight ongoing market pressures. Traders are currently waiting for definitive signals prior to the market’s next significant movement.
XRP Price Must Break Through $1.65 for Upward Run
XRP currently rests at a juncture where its upcoming direction could soon become apparent. Market data provided by CW indicates that whale long positions continue to climb, showing a long position ratio of 2.18 for Binance whales and 23.38 for OKX whales.
These metrics highlight elevated whale long ratios, particularly on OKX. Nevertheless, the outlook is not entirely bullish yet. Smart money sentiment on both Binance and Bybit stays bearish, suggesting that larger market players are holding out for more favorable setups before committing to a clear upward bias.
Regarding the Ripple coin, $1.65 remains the primary price threshold to monitor. Analyst EGRAG Crypto noted that a weekly candle closing entirely above $1.65 would reinforce a bullish breakout pattern. Until that occurs, the price action cannot be labeled as a confirmed trend reversal.
The Market Setup Remains Mixed
Price activity is also contending with a neutral derivatives market. CW pointed out that the net position delta for the Ripple coin has remained relatively flat since the weekend, marking the end of the short squeeze while whales appear to take a brief pause.
This dynamic leaves the market in a neutral posture. The next indicator market participants are tracking is a simultaneous increase in open interest and net position delta. If both metrics rise together, it would signal that fresh positions and genuine buying volume are entering the ecosystem.
Such a development is vital because an advance driven by authentic buying carries more weight than one fueled primarily by short-sellers closing out trades. A lasting uptrend requires more than just a short squeeze.
Recent liquidation data introduces an additional word of caution. BankXRP reported that $38.6 million worth of XRP long positions were leveraged position when margin no longer covers losses.">liquidated on August 22, marking the highest single-day XRP long liquidation amount since October 2025. Binance accounted for $12.63 million of those long liquidations, compared to just $1.4 million in short liquidations.
XRP Price Could Retest Lower Levels Before A Breakout
XRP is additionally being evaluated against a broader macro chart structure. EGRAG Crypto reiterated that $1.65 acts as the essential confirmation level. Should the Ripple coin fail to breach and sustain itself above this barrier, the price might continue tracking along its falling trajectory.
Under this scenario, a retest of the 333 EMA could precede any renewed push toward the upside. EGRAG has also highlighted the region between $1.05, $0.95, and $0.85 as a potential macro bottoming zone.
The chart configuration is heavily influenced by the 50 EMA and the 333 EMA. The 50 EMA trends downward while the 333 EMA trends upward, leaving XRP trapped between the two moving averages. Their eventual convergence could serve as a pivotal turning point for the Ripple coin.
For near-term XRP price forecasts, the immediate path forward is therefore closely tied to the $1.65 mark. A weekly close above this threshold would present bulls with a stronger argument, whereas a rejection could force XRP back toward the 333 EMA and secondary support tiers ahead of any future rally.
Simultaneously, whale accumulation trends must be evaluated alongside smart money sentiment. Although Binance and OKX display heavier whale long positioning, Bybit whale exposure sits close to a neutral 0.98, and smart money remains bearish. This divergence leaves the market waiting for clearer buy-side demand before a robust uptrend can be verified, a factor that could prove critical if buyers stage a strong return.
FAQ
- What is the key resistance level to watch for XRP? The key resistance level is $1.65, which is needed for a potential breakout.
- What happens if XRP fails to break $1.65? A rejection could send XRP toward the 333 EMA and lower macro support zones.
- How much in long positions was recently leveraged position when margin no longer covers losses.">liquidated? On August 22, $38.6 million in XRP long positions were leveraged position when margin no longer covers losses.">liquidated.
- What are the macro bottoming zones for XRP? EGRAG Crypto pointed to the $1.05, $0.95, and $0.85 area as a potential macro bottoming zone.
